Right here’s our very best guess as to what the nominees will seemingly be — the eight high contenders (in alphabetical uncover, just true as they’ll seem on the list of nominations and, later, the Grammy ballot). We furthermore immediate list eight high alternates.
These categories are fiercely competitive. There private been 1,225 entries for album of the twelve months, 1,463 for account of the twelve months, 1,443 for tune of the twelve months and 343 for loads of efficient fresh artist. You may perchance hear the phrase “snub” thrown spherical loads on Tuesday. Within the Huge Four categories, significantly, if one thing isn’t nominated, it isn’t primarily a snub. It will imply somebody came in ninth out of more than a thousand entries. Preserve that in mind.
Right here we drag. (Wish us success.)
Album of the twelve months
Fiona Apple, Receive the Scurry Cutters: This may perchance occasionally be the first album of the twelve months nod for Apple, who turn out to be nominated for loads of efficient fresh artist in 1997.
Luke Combs, What You Evaluate Is What You Salvage: This turn out to be the first nation album to high the Billboard 200 for 2 weeks since Chris Stapleton’s Traveller 5 years prior to now — which turn out to be nominated in this class. Combs’ album won album of the twelve months at each the ACM and CMA Awards.
Dua Lipa, Future Nostalgia: This may perchance occasionally be the first album of the twelve months nod for Lipa, who won very best fresh artist two years prior to now.
Submit Malone, Hollywood’s Bleeding: This may perchance well be Submit’s 2nd album of the twelve months nod. Beerbongs & Bentleys turn out to be nominated two years prior to now.
Roddy Ricch, Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial: This won album of the twelve months at the BET Awards and hip hop album of the twelve months at the BET Hip Hop Awards.
Harry Kinds, Fine Line: This may perchance well be Kinds’ first Grammy nod — in any class, solo or with One Direction. Higher gradual than never.
Taylor Swift, Folklore: This may perchance well build Swift motivate in the album of the twelve months finals after her final two albums fell short. This may perchance well be her fourth nod in this class.
The Weeknd, After Hours: This may perchance well be The Weeknd’s 2nd nod in this class. Elegance Within the motivate of the Madness turn out to be nominated 5 years prior to now.
Other high contenders: Wicked Bunny, YHLQMDLG; The Chicks, Gaslighter; Bob Dylan, Tough and Rowdy Techniques; Lady Gaga, Chromatica; Miranda Lambert, Wildcard; Lil Tiny one, My Turn; Lil Uzi Vert, Eternal Atake (Deluxe) — Luv vs. the World 2; Pop Smoke, Shoot for the Stars Aim for the Moon.
Document of the twelve months
Billie Eilish, “Everything I Wanted”: Eilish won in this class final twelve months with “Wicked Guy.” She’s vying to became the first artist to reach motivate to the finals the twelve months after winning in this class since U2 with regards to 20 years prior to now.
Submit Malone, “Circles”: Submit has been nominated in this class in every of the final two years with “Rockstar” (featuring 21 Savage) and “Sunflower,” a collab with Swae Lee. He’s vying to became the first artist to receive a account of the twelve months nod three years working since Steve Winwood (1986-88).
Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyoncé Knowles, “Savage”: This may perchance well be Beyoncé’s sixth occupation nomination in this class, which may perchance enable her to surpass Barbra Streisand as the female artist with primarily the most occupation nods. They’re in the intervening time tied with 5 account of the twelve months nods every. Moreover, this may perchance occasionally be the third all-female collab to be nominated in this class, following Brandy & Monica’s “The Boy Is Mine” (1998) and Iggy Azalea featuring Charli XCX’s “Adore” (2014).
Maren Morris, “The Bones”: This hit, which logged 19 weeks at No. 1 on Sizzling Country Songs, won the CMA Award for single of the twelve months. This may perchance well be Morris’ 2nd account of the twelve months nod. She turn out to be nominated two years prior to now for “The Heart,” a pop-minded collab with Zedd and Grey.
Travis Scott, “Highest in the Room”: This may perchance well be Scott’s first nomination in a Huge Four class for one amongst his hang records. He bought an album of the twelve months nod four years prior to now as a featured artist on Justin Bieber’s Motive.
Harry Kinds, “Love You”: “Watermelon Sugar” turn out to be an even bigger hit, but Kinds’ camp entered this tune as a exchange, presumably pondering it has a more venerable Grammy sound.
The Weeknd, “Blinding Lights”: This may perchance well be The Weeknd’s 2nd nod in this class. He turn out to be nominated 5 years prior to now for “Can’t Feel My Face.”
Other high contenders: Gabby Barrett, “I Hope”; DaBaby featuring Roddy Ricch, “Rockstar”; Doja Cat’s “Stutter So”; Lady Gaga & Ariana Grande’s “Rain on Me”; Dua Lipa’s “Don’t Launch Now”; Roddy Ricch, “The Box”; Taylor Swift, “Cardigan”; 24kGoldn featuring Iann Dior, “Mood.”
Song of the twelve months
This award goes to the songwriters, no longer the artists. Artists’ names are shown here in parentheses just true to imply which you may perchance also establish the tune.
“Love You” (Harry Kinds): Amy Allen, Thomas Hull, Tyler Johnson & Harry Kinds, songwriters.
“The Bigger Image” (Lil Tiny one): Dominique Jones, Noah Pettigrew & Rai’shaun Williams, songwriters. Within the twelve months of George Floyd and BLM, the Grammys are certain to appoint loads of songs that tackle the topic of flee. Past tune of the twelve months nominees that addressed the relate of affairs are Kendrick Lamar’s “Alright” (2015), Beyoncé’s “Formation” (2016) and Infantile Gambino’s “This Is The us” (2018). “The Bigger Image” won influence music at the BET Hip Hop Awards.
“Blinding Lights” (The Weeknd): Ahmad Balshe, Oscar Holter, Max Martin, Jason “Daheala” Quenneville & Abel “The Weeknd” Tesfaye, songwriters. This may perchance well be Martin’s fifth nod in this class.
“The Bones” (Maren Morris): Maren Morris, Jimmy Robbins & Laura Veltz, songwriters. This won tune of the twelve months at primarily the most stylish CMA Awards.
“Cardigan” (Taylor Swift): Aaron Dessner & Taylor Swift, songwriters. This may perchance well be Swift’s fifth nod in the class, which will seemingly be more than every other female songwriter in Grammy ancient past. She’s in the intervening time tied with lyricist Marilyn Bergman with four nods every.
“Circles” (Submit Malone): Louis Bell, Adam Feeney, Kaan Gunesberk, Austin Submit & Billy Walsh, songwriters. Neither of Submit’s old account of the twelve months candidates turn out to be nominated for tune of the twelve months.
“Everything I Wanted” (Billie Eilish): Billie Eilish O’Connell & Finneas O’Connell, songwriters. The proficient siblings won in this class final twelve months for “Wicked Guy.” On the risk of getting sooner than ourselves, if this private been to desire, the sibs would became the first songwriters in Grammy ancient past to desire motivate-to-motivate awards in this class.
“I Can’t Breathe” (H.E.R.): Dernst Emile II, H.E.R. & Tiara Thomas, songwriters. H.E.R. turn out to be nominated in this class final twelve months for co-writing “Troublesome Situation.” If “I Can’t Breathe” is nominated alongside “The Bigger Image,” this may perchance well label the first time that two flee-themed songs private been nominated in this class in the the same twelve months. “I Can no longer Breathe” won video for factual at each the VMAs and the MTV EMAs.
Other high contenders (songwriters’ names pushed apart in the hobby of space): “Before You Lag” (Lewis Capaldi); “Unlit Parade” (Beyoncé); “Don’t Launch Now” (Dua Lipa); “I Hope” (Gabby Barrett); “Mood” (24kGoldn featuring Iann Dior); “Homicide Most Defective” (Bob Dylan); “Savage” (Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyoncé Knowles); “10,000 Hours” (Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber).
Most efficient fresh artist
Gabby Barrett: “I Hope,” the step forward hit by the 20-twelve months primitive nation singer, has logged 16 weeks at No. 1 on Sizzling Country Songs. Barrett turn out to be nominated for fresh female artist of the twelve months at the ACM Awards and fresh artist of the twelve months at the CMA Awards. She’s vying to became the first female nation artist to desire in this class since Carrie Underwood 14 years prior to now.
BlackPink: The all-female neighborhood is vying to became the first K-pop act to receive a nomination in this class. BlackPink’s first paunchy-dimension album, The Album, entered the Billboard 200 at No. 2. “Ice Cream,” the neighborhood’s collab with Selena Gomez, reached No. 13 on the Sizzling 100.
Doja Cat: Cat won push very best fresh artist at the VMA Awards and very best fresh at the MTV EMAs. Her “Stutter So” reached No. 1 on the Sizzling 100.
Conan Gray: Gray’s debut album, Child Krow, reached No. 5 on the Billboard 200. Gray is a mountainous fan of Taylor Swift, who turn out to be nominated in this class 13 years prior to now.
Megan Thee Stallion: The rapper turn out to be entered in this class final twelve months but wasn’t nominated. She had had a mountainous 2019, but an very just true bigger 2020, with two No. 1 singles on the Sizzling 100. Megan is vying to became the first female hip-hop artist to desire very best fresh artist since Lauryn Hill 22 years prior to now.
Pop Smoke: The rapper, who turn out to be shot to death in February at age 20, has a factual probability of changing into the first artist to receive a posthumous nomination in this class. (The class dates to 1959, the 2nd twelve months of the Grammy Awards.) The most effective capability stumbling block: The award has prolonged been considered as a vote of self belief in a promising, up-and-coming artist. What does a vote of self belief imply in the case of an artist who has died? Pop Smoke won very best fresh hip hop artist at final month’s BET Hip Hop Awards. He turn out to be nominated for loads of efficient fresh artist at the BET Awards in June.
Summer season Walker: Walker’s debut album, Over It, reached No. 2 on the Billboard 200. Walker turn out to be nominated for loads of efficient fresh artist at the BET Awards.
Morgan Wallen: Wallen has accrued four high 20 hits on the Sizzling 100, including one (“7 Summers”) that cracked the tip 10. Wallen won fresh artist of the twelve months at the CMAs (beating Barrett). Could perchance possibly they each be nominated here? There private been two nation contenders in this class four years prior to now—Maren Morris and Kelsea Ballerini. And that turn out to be motivate when there private been very best 5 nominees.
Other high contenders: Ingrid Andress, Phoebe Bridgers, Metropolis Girls, Mickey Guyton, Orville Peck, Rex Orange County, Tones and I, YoungBoy By no methodology Broke Again.
Elaborate 1: First-spherical Grammy balloting closed on Oct. 12, 12 days sooner than 24kGolden’s “Mood” (featuring iann dior) reached No. 1 on the Sizzling 100. Clearly, 24kGolden would private had an even bigger shot at an awfully best fresh artist nomination if balloting had closed later, but may perchance he squeeze in anyway?
Elaborate 2: Roddy Ricch wasn’t eligible for loads of efficient fresh artist because he won a Grammy final twelve months as a featured artist on Nipsey Hussle’s “Racks in the Heart” (which turn out to be voted very best rap recording).